Grizzlies vs. Warriors line, picks: Advanced computer NBA model releases selections for Game 3 matchup

ByFreda D. Cuevas

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The Golden State Warriors host the Memphis Grizzlies for Game 3 of a second round matchup at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday. Golden State is favored by 7.5 points at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 225.5 (see up-to-date odds for every game this week on our NBA odds page). 

Before making any Grizzlies vs. Warriors picks, you NEED to check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the third full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows the Grizzlies are causing havoc on defense. Memphis is holding opponents to less than 1.06 points per possession during the playoffs. The Grizzlies are leading the NBA playoffs in turnover creation and steals, with Memphis backing that up with strong metrics during the regular season. On the other end, Memphis is leading the playoffs in free throw attempts (29.9 per game), and the Grizzlies have a path to second-chance points with an offensive rebound rate north of 30 percent.

The model also knows the Warriors have a prolific offense. Golden State is No. 2 in the playoffs in scoring more than 1.17 points per possession. The Warriors boast a 60.1 percent true shooting mark, with a playoff-leading mark of 28.7 assists per game. Golden State also sets the bar high with 1.99 assists per turnover and an assist rate of 68.1 percent, and the Warriors have a 28.0 percent offensive rebound rate in the playoffs.

Now, it has set its sights on Grizzlies vs. Warriors. We can tell you the model is leaning under the total, and it also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations! You ABSOLUTELY need to see it before locking in any NBA picks.

Who wins Grizzlies vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? … Join SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Grizzlies vs. Warriors spread you should be all over Saturday, all from the model on a roll on NBA picks!

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